Picks for the 2023 Kentucky Derby
This year’s Kentucky Derby looks like another good handicapping challenge. I’ve watched all of the prep-races and have narrowed the field down to my top selections. Todd Pletcher has 3 and Brad Cox has 4 entries: Forte (190 pts, EQ106) – Irad Ortiz Jr., Todd Pletcher Tapit Trice (150 pts, EQ103) – Luis Saez, Todd […]
Pick 4 at Turf Paradise
On Tuesdays in April, TVG was offering a late Pick 4 promotion at Turf Paradise. This promo pays back your wager (up to $25) if you only get 3 out of 4 races correct. I had been playing the “Hit It and Split It” pick 4 promos at Gulfstream and Santa Anita last month without […]
1/St Bet Handicap Factors
1/St Bet is a horse wagering website and app similar to TVG, Twin Spires, Express Bet, and NYRA Bets. It is the official app of Gulfstream Park, Santa Anita, Maryland Jockey Club, Golden Gate Fields, and Canterbury Park. If you live near one of these tracks, you are probably familiar with the app. 1/St Bet’s […]
Class On Claiming Races
I made a post last year about handicapping claiming races. But I realize now that I missed one of the most important aspects of a claiming race. While I mentioned several typical handicapping angles, I forgot to talk about claiming prices. A claiming race has a price or range of prices that a prospective owner […]
What is a NumberFire?
There are a lot of websites that offer projections on which horses might win a race. The trick is to find the ones that project consistent winners. But in the end, you have to decide which horses to put in your multi-race wager. I sometimes use the websites that are not so good at projecting […]
When to Throw Out a Race
Knowing when to “Throw out” or ignore the results of a race when looking at the past history of a horse is critical to finding long shots. I recently made the mistake of including a bad race result for a horse and it caused me to overlook a longshot winner in my pick 4. I […]
2023 Holy Bull Pick 4
After my terrible pick 4 results this past Wednesday, I decided to try and redeem myself with Saturday’s all-stakes late pick 4 at Gulfstream. With a strong favorite in most of the races, it looked like it wouldn’t be too hard to build a good pick 4 that was within my $18 budget. I had […]
4 Strikes You’re Out!
When I have a pick 4 wager that goes 0 for 4, I always like to go back and try to figure out what went wrong. That is exactly what happened last Wednesday on the late pick 4 at Gulfstream Park. From a handicapping standpoint, it looked like the favorites had the advantage. Even former […]
2023 Pegasus Win Bet
On Friday, the day before the Pegasus, I was planning to put in a late pick 4 wager at Santa Anita. But after looking at my spreadsheet, I didn’t feel confident about my selections. Although the races had small fields, it looked like anyone could win. The last race had the biggest field and was […]
Another Pick 4 at GSP
This past Wednesday TVG had one of their pick 4 bonus promos at Gulfstream Park. My pick 4 wager hinged on a single in the 8th race. Munnys Gold is a 3-year-old Female trained by Todd Pletcher who had won her first race by 14 lengths. I was concerned about the 223-day layoff and the […]
