Knowing when to “Throw out” or ignore the results of a race when looking at the past history of a horse is critical to finding long shots. I recently made the mistake of including a bad race result for a horse and it caused me to overlook a longshot winner in my pick 4. I had the winners of the other three races but ignored a horse that recently had one bad race. In fact, everyone had overlooked this horse because the final odds were 33\/1.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
I ran the numbers again without the one bad race and the horse’s stats improved noticeably. I tried using the three best races and the numbers improved again. There were still two better horses in the race according to the speed figures. But if I only look at the best three races, I will need to do that for every horse in the race to be fair. The problem is, if I look back too far, it doesn’t really reflect the current condition of the horse.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
I decided to use the speed figure to determine when to throw out the results of a race. If the speed figure is 20 or more below their average, I can assume that the horse had a bad race. I’ve seen horses run their best and still finish last in a race that was above their typical class level. Throwing out of race is something you hear experienced handicappers talk about. It is a skill that can make or break you as a horse player. If all of the horses were running their best race every time, picking winners would be easy.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Knowing when to “Throw out” or ignore the results of a race when looking at the past history of a horse is critical to finding long shots. I recently made the mistake of including a bad race result for a horse and it caused me to overlook a longshot winner in my pick 4. I […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[4],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/budgethomepage.com\/gaming\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/373"}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/budgethomepage.com\/gaming\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/budgethomepage.com\/gaming\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/budgethomepage.com\/gaming\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/budgethomepage.com\/gaming\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=373"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"http:\/\/budgethomepage.com\/gaming\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/373\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":376,"href":"http:\/\/budgethomepage.com\/gaming\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/373\/revisions\/376"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/budgethomepage.com\/gaming\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=373"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/budgethomepage.com\/gaming\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=373"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/budgethomepage.com\/gaming\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=373"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}